Andrey Rublev of Russia reacts after scoring a point against Rafael Nadal of Spain during their quarterfinal match of the Monte Carlo Tennis Masters tournament in Monaco, Friday, April 16, 2021. (AP Photo/Jean-Francois Badias)
- Andrey Rublev will take on Casper Ruud at the Monte-Carlo Masters Semifinals
- Rublev currently holds a 3-0 head-to-head record against Ruud
- See below for the odds for this match and a preview of how they got here
Both Rublev and Ruud are coming off quarterfinal upset wins to earn their spots in the final four at the Monte-Carlo Masters. Rublev defeated the King of Clay, Rafael Nadal, in a three set battle, whereas Ruud defeated defending champion Fabio Fognini in straight sets.
With the exit of Nadal and Fognini, there are no former champions left in this tournament. Two-time winner Novak Djokovic was eliminated in the Round of 16.
Rublev and Ruud are set to take to the court Saturday, April 16th at 8:50 AM ET for their semifinal match. Take a look at the odds, and our best bet analysis for this match.
Andrey Rublev vs Casper Ruud Monte-Carlo Masters Semifinals Odds
|Player||Spread at DraftKings||Moneyline||Total|
| Andrey Rublev||-4.5 (-105)||-435||O 20.5 (-109)|
|Casper Ruud||+2.5 (-120)||+335||U 20.5 (-114)|
Odds as of April 16th
Rublev Upsets Nadal
The Russian is the heavy favorite in this semifinal match, listed at -435. Rublev is coming off a huge win, as he upset 11-time champion Nadal 6-2, 4-6, 6-2. Beating Nadal in general is always a tough task, but on clay, it always seems that much more harder.
In a match that saw Nadal look tired, Rublev was all over the first set, not allowing the Spaniard to settle in at all. Nadal did save breakpoints at 3-1 when he was down in the second set, and looked to gain some momentum. This resulted in winning that second set, and evening out the score. But Rublev was able to break the 11-time champion almost right away in the third set, and it was game over.
Rublev will now look forward to his semifinal match against unseeded Ruud, who’s coming off an upset of his own.
Unseeded Ruud Reaches Semis
Ruud defeated defending champion Fognini in a dominating 6-4, 6-3 win, as he continues to have a strong showing this week at the Monte-Carlo Masters.
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) April 16, 2021
Despite the straightforward score, this match included quite a bit of back and forth in both sets before Ruud was able to record the victory. It was tied 4-4 in the first set when Ruud was able break it open. He went on to win five consecutive games, resulting in a 6-4, 3-0 lead.
Fognini was then once again able to even it out to 3-3. Ruud then won the next three games to secure the win, and earn his spot in the final four of the tournament.
This semifinal match won’t be an easy task for Ruud, but in this tournament alone, he’s already upset three seeded players, with two of those matches being straight set wins.
These two players are actually fairly familiar with each other, with three matches under their belt in the past few years. Two of the three matches have come on an outdoor clay surface, and Rublev has won all three meetings.
Their last meeting comes earlier this year at the Australian Open Round of 16, where Ruud unfortunately retired from the match at 6-2, 7(7)-6(3).
Rublev vs Ruud Head-to-Head Stats
|20/4||YTD W/L Record||6/3|
|60.7 (23rd)||Head-to-Head wins||47.1 (3rd)|
This will be one of Ruud’s toughest matches, but he has already beat three seeded players on route to this semifinal. Rublev is coming off one of his biggest wins as he defeated Nadal.
Rublev has won the most ATP Tour matches this year. He currently has a 23-4 match record on the 2021 season, and that shouldn’t go unnoticed. He’s been one of the most consistent players on tour. He had a career best season in 2020, and has been able to continue his level of intensity well into 2021.
I’m going to give the edge to Rublev in this match. Ruud is a great player on clay, and we’ve seen how impressive he’s been playing all week, but Rublev has shown us day in and day out that he’s one of the best players on tour right now.
Best Bet: Rublev (-435); 2-0 (-113)
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A graduate of Sport Media at Ryerson University, Hayley is the ultimate student of sports. Whether she is playing it, watching it, debating it, or writing it, it’s safe to assume sport consumes the majority of her life. She has worked both internationally and with the NBA.