Barbora Krejčíková vs Garbiñe Muguruza Odds & Prediction – Dubai Open Finals

Krejčíková vs Muguruza

Spain’s Garbine Muguruza serves to Japan’s Naomi Osaka during their fourth round match at the Australian Open tennis championship in Melbourne, Australia, Sunday, Feb. 14, 2021.(AP Photo/Hamish Blair)

  • Barbora Krejčíková is looking for her first career title in Dubai, Garbiñe Muguruza her eighth

  • This is the first career meeting between the two; first serve will be struck at 10 am EST on Saturday morning
  • We look at why Muguruza is a big favorite to win, and whether there’s a chance of an upset below

With eight of the top 15 players in the world in the Dubai draw, it’s unexpected that unseeded Barbora Krejčíková would be one of the two left standing.

Krejčíková was not even among the top 20 on the odds list going in.

As for Garbiñe Muguruza, despite being in the tougher half and the No. 9 seed, it’s almost expected. That’s how well she’s been playing.

Barbora Krejčíková vs Garbiñe Muguruza Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Odds
Barbora Krejčíková (CZE) -4.5 (-112) +290 O 20.5 (-110)
[9] Garbiñe Muguruza (ESP) +4.5 (-113) -385 U 20.5 (-114)

Odds taken March 12 from DraftKings

Muguruza on a Mission in 2021

There was a different type of body language, a different look in her eye, when two-time Grand Slam champion Garbiñe Muguruza began the 2021 season in Australia.

After a few years when she had dropped from the very top tier of the game, she finally dismissed longtime coach Sam Sumyk and started a new chapter.

That chapter includes a female coach, former Wimbledon champion and fellow Spaniard Conchita Martinez.

It has taken a bit of time, but she’s back on her game again. And she has upped it another notch this week.

Win or lose, Muguruza will be right behind Australian Open champion Naomi Osaka in the points race to the WTA Finals, at No. 2.

She dispatched Elise Mertens in straight sets in the semifinals; the Belgian had used up a lot of energy in a comeback from the brink in the previous round.

Krejčíková Looking for First Title

One of the top doubles players in the world, Krejčíková has taken a more scenic route in her singles career.

The doubles success was in the cards early on; she and partner Katerina Siniakova came within a few points at the Australian Open of winning all four Grand Slam tournaments in girls’ doubles in 2013.

And they’re still together.

Barbora Krejčíková – Gradual Rankings Rise

Season Year-End Singles Ranking Year-End Doubles Ranking
2020 65 7
2019 135 13
2018 203 1
2016 251 26
2013 376 352
2012 608 614

But the Catch-22 with being a top doubles player is that if your singles ranking is too low, you have to make a choice.

Either you commit to being a full-time doubles specialist, or you sacrifice some of that prized income to drop down to play the lower-level tournaments in singles to raise your ranking.

Krejcikova has tried to balance both. It’s finally paying off now.

This will be the biggest singles match of her career.

Krejčíková will already break into the top 40 in singles after her effort in Dubai this week.

If she wins, she’ll be in the top 30 and be among the 32 seeded players at the upcoming Grand Slam tournaments in Paris and at Wimbledon.

Krejčíková vs Muguruza Head-to-Head Statistics

25 (Dec. 18, 1995) Age 27 (Oct. 7, 1993)
Brno, Czech Republic Birthplace Caracas, Venezuela
5-10 Height 6-0
0 WTA Singles Titles 7
7 WTA Doubles Titles 5
0 Grand Slam Singles Titles 2
No. 63 Current Ranking No.  16
No. 59  (Feb. 8, 2021) Career High Ranking No. 1 (Sept. 10, 2017)
$3,274,522 Career Prize Money $21,473,323
0 Head-to-Head 0

Muguruza Better at Most Aspects

The two have never met before in singles – or in doubles.

If Krejčíková appears to have had an easier road to the final, it’s partly because she faced slightly less accomplished opposition.

She has yet to lose a set; Muguruza has lost just one, to No. 3 seed Aryna Sabalenka.

The biggest issue Krejčíková will have is that there isn’t any particular thing she does noticeably better than Muguruza on a tennis court.

And the Czech won’t come with anything the Spanish veteran hasn’t already seen and dealt with.

Also – Krejčíková will be hard-pressed to avoid the nerves.

Will the Sets be Close?

There’s a little bit of value in Krejčíková being competitive – over 9.5 on the total set games in set 1 (+110) and set 2 (+114).

That’s a possibility. And if the 2021 pandemic season is anything to go by, it’s never completely out of the realm that the unexpected can happen – such as Krejčíková winning in straight sets (+600).

But it’s unlikely. Muguruza appears to be on a mission.

Prediction:  Muguruza in two sets (-137)

Stephanie Myles

MLB NHL Tennis Sports Writer

MLB NHL Tennis

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