Nate Diaz is seen at a news conference for the UFC 244 mixed martial arts event, Thursday, Sept. 19, 2019, in New York. Masvidal is scheduled to fight Diaz Saturday, November 2 at Madison Square Garden. (AP Photo/Gregory Payan)
- Nate Diaz is back on May 15 in the co-main event of UFC 262
- Leon Edwards finally gets a big fight he has been after
- Sportsbooks have opened odds, but how will the odds change
UFC star, Nate Diaz, will make the walk to the Octagon on May 15th at UFC 262 in the co-main event against Leon Edwards. It will be Diaz’s first fight since he suffered a TKO doctor stoppage loss to Jorge Masvidal in November of 2019 for the BMF title. Surprisingly enough, Leon Edwards opens as a sizeable favorite in the Edwards vs Diaz opening odds.
Since Diaz’s loss to Masvidal, he has been holding out for a big fight which is why when it was announced he was fighting Edwards it came as a surprise. It is also the first-ever five-round non-title fight co-main event in UFC history.
Leon Edwards vs Nate Diaz Opening Odds
|Fighter||Odds at FanDuel|
Odds as of April 1
Are The Odds Surprising for Edwards vs Diaz?
I’m slightly surprised that Edwards is a -310 favorite in the opening odds. In the past, he is someone who hasn’t gotten the most respect from oddsmakers and the betting public. Diaz, meanwhile, is a big name that attracts the casual bettor to throw some money on him. More importantly, when fans see him at a +220 underdog it will no doubt be tempting for them.
Check me out may 15th I’ll be headlining #ufc262 in Houston Texas I’ll also have the new UFC lightweight title fight on the card I need people to know these guys are they’ve been working very hard and I can’t wait to see who gets my old 👑 I’ll see uguys there 👊🏼
— Nathan Diaz (@NateDiaz209) March 31, 2021
However, in terms of skill, there is no question Edwards is the better mixed martial artist and should be favored against Diaz. The Stockton native gets hit a lot but does have good cardio, so the longer this fight goes, the better he will likely do. Yet, Edwards is very well-rounded and will pose problems for Diaz in all aspects of the fight.
How Might The Odds Change?
I think the line will see two-way action.
Edwards is already up to a -310 favorite in the opening odds as the sharps have gotten on the early opening line. I do expect most of the sharps to bet this fight early to try and get Edwards under -350 odds. Come fight week, however, the casual bettors will start backing Diaz, and that will bring this line down to around +200.
Nate Diaz will return against Leon Edwards in the co-main event of UFC 262 on May 15, sources told @arielhelwani.
It will be the first five-round non-title co-main event in UFC history. pic.twitter.com/kUXHzGi60P
— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) March 31, 2021
If you like Nate Diaz in this fight, I think you can wait to bet this fight until either fight night or the week of the fight as the early action is all on Edwards.
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Cole graduated from Sheridan College in April of 2019 with a diploma in journalism. He now is a full-time freelance writer, focusing on MMA for sites like BJPENN and MMA News, while also covering the Toronto Blue Jays as a credentialed media member. At SBD, Cole covers the four major sports and MMA.