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Tsitsipas v Nadal Offer – Betway | Matched Betting Blog


It’s Stefanos Tsitsipas v Rafael Nadal in the Australian Open Quarter-Finals on Wednesday and you don’t want to miss this Betway early payout offer! Simply bet up to £20.00 on Tsitsipas or Nadal to win the match and if our selected player wins the first set, Betway will pay us out as a winner, in cash, no matter the final result! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £29.09 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Maximum qualifying stake of £20.00.
  • Applies to single bets placed on Tsitsipas or Nadal in the Match Winner market.
  • Applies to bets placed before the match starts, which is due to be at 08:30 on Wednesday 17th February 2021.
  • If our selected player wins the first set, Betway will pay our bet out in cash, within 24 hours.

NOTE: Be aware that Betway have different retirement rules to Betfair and Smarkets, which could leave you exposed to a big loss in the event of a retirement. The safest way of doing this offer is dutching your qualifying bet at another bookmaker with the same retirement rules, as explained in this guide.

Qualifying bet

If you’re unfamiliar with early payout offers, please see my Bet365 Early Payout (2UP) guide for a walkthrough guide on how they should be done.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Rafael Nadal at odds of 1.50 (1/2). If Nadal wins the first set, Betway will pay our bet out as a winner.

At the time of writing, Bet365 have the best odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas at 2.75 (7/4).

We can calculate our stake using the ‘2-Way Dutch‘ setting on my Early Payout Calculator

Back bet (Bookie)1st Bookie

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

Bookie 1

Bookie 2

Bookie 3

Total

As you can see, the calculator tells us to stake £10.91 on Stefanos Tsitsipas

Place £20.00 on Rafael Nadal @ 1.50 = Potential profit of £10.00

Bet365 logo

Place £10.91 on Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 2.75 = Potential profit of £19.09

No early payout

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss if Nadal doesn’t win the first set…

Outcome Betway Bet365 Profit/Loss
Nadal wins + £10.00 – £10.91 £0.91 loss
Nadal loses – £20.00 + £19.09 £0.91 loss

So, worst case scenario, we’ll lose £0.91 in qualifying for this early payout offer.

Early payout!

If Nadal wins the first set, we need to select the early payout toggle (in the grey section) to tell the calculator that ‘The bookmaker has paid out early‘…

Back bet (Bookie)1st Bookie

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

Bookie 1

Bookie 2

Bookie 3

Total

As you can see, our potential profit/loss is as follows, now that Betway have paid out early…

Outcome Betway Bet365 Profit/Loss
Nadal wins + £10.00 – £10.91 £0.91 loss
Nadal loses + £10.00 + £19.09 £29.09 profit

So, if we let things run and Nadal goes on to win, we’ll still make a loss of £0.91, but if Nadal loses, we’ll make a profit of £29.09!

Lock in profit

If we decide to lock in a profit, we’ll need to enter the back odds for Nadal to win at a third bookmaker. Let’s say, for example, Nadal is odds of 1.25 at BetVictor…

Back bet (Bookie)1st Bookie

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

Bookie 1

Bookie 2

Bookie 3

Total

As you can see, the calculator tells us that we need to stake £24.00 on Nadal to win at BetVictor…

BetVictor logo

Place £24.00 on Rafael Nadal @ 1.25 = Potential profit of £6.00

Now let’s have a look at our overall potential profit for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Betway Bet365 BetVictor Profit/Loss
Nadal wins + £10.00 – £10.91 + £6.00 £5.09 profit
Nadal loses + £10.00 + £19.09 – £24.00 £5.09 profit

So, regardless of the outcome, we would make a guaranteed profit of £5.09 on this match!

If eligible, our cash winnings will be credited within 24 hours of the match ending.



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