Andrew Mount’s SpreadEx Analysis – Friday November 19th – originally posted on Sportslens.com
Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount turns his attention to Friday’s SpreadEx markets to find the best value spread betting and fixed odds opportunities.
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Andrew’s picks have been in good form so far this week and he has three recommended bets/trades at Ascot on Friday:
Horse Racing Betting Tips for Friday November 19th
TOM CANNON hasn’t got the greatest record at Ascot, scoring on just four of his 96 rides (4.2%) for a loss of £55.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. When riding for Chris Gordon he’s just one from 38. He has three rides for the yard today, including HIGHWAY ONE O ONE (3.15), who is on a losing run of 18. BADDESLEY has a more obvious chance in the 3.50, though he looks quirky and has won just a Fontwell bumper from six starts. His other ride, HIGHWAY ONE O TWO in the 2.40, would prefer softer going and is another who could struggle. Cannon’s performance index is set at 188.8.131.52 with SpreadEx and sell is the suggestion.
TOM O’BRIEN has a couple of good rides for in-form Philip Hobbs at Ascot today, notably SMARTY WILD in the 2.05. He was only fifth at Newbury on his comeback but will be happier on today’s right-handed track. His record this way round when returned to the track within 28 days of his previous outing reads 11114431 (5-8) and it will be disappointing of he isn’t thereabouts. TIDAL FLOW could pick up place money in the 3.15. His performance index is set at 13-5.15. SpreadEx fixed odds punters might prefer to back Smarty Wild at 7-2 or at 5-2 in the ‘betting with Guy (favourite)’ market.
Dan Skelton has a good record with horses he takes over from other yards, especially at the second time of asking, scoring with 70 of the 304 qualifiers (23% strike-rate) for a very small profit of £5.86 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who ran obviously good races on their debut for Skelton, finishing first or second, returned a loss second time out but the ones who finished between third and fifth went on to land 27 of their 98 starts for a profit of £49.85. GETAROUND was only third when the 10-11 favourite at Chepstow on his stable debut last month but that experience would have been needed (it was also his first start following wind surgery) and he’s likely to take a big step forward today. He’s 6-4 in teh SpreadEx fixed odds betting or can be bought at 26 on the spreads.
Recommendation: Back GETAROUND in Ascot 3.15
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